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MarketTrak Question/Comment Message |
Posted By: Peter Date: Tue Jan 26, 2016 |
Title: Does system learn |
Message: |
Response: The answer to your second question is I don’t know. It would depend on the market behavior leading up to the decline. If the behavior was similar to previous declines then I would expect the model to forecast the decline correctly. However, if the decline is a result of some shock, like China announces something rather negative after the close, then you can't expect the model to know this and the forecast could be wrong. Hope this helps, |